current parameter status : 
sigma 2.0961 False
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.294 False
psi 0.1428 False
delta_h1 -1.3907 True
delta_h2 3.9922 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 0.9895 True
price 0.6573 True
risk 0.0 False
-- 
number of parameters:  10
number of free parameters:  4
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.0961 False
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.294 False
psi 0.1428 False
delta_h1 -1.3907 True
delta_h2 3.9922 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 0.9895 True
price 0.6573 True
risk 0.0 False
- using these moments:
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0031657988475830867
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.004043170914761445
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.06469366941483022
grad2 1.0300849198644249 0.017678418526382363
grad3 1.0241036808273303 0.018375668394591867
grad4 1.0237958579139899 0.01838935438590503
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.003962128668419577
f =  46.15365619204741 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0986251461699204
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029735
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5864735847793493
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.013634428226224
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0219315019715554
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.028493620494316
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8516458381902201
f =  121.6072001841836 , pars =  [-1.29073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09837864324136324
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029748
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5884642068019038
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.014677572493432
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0231106486565276
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0292671912084896
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8321912023890005
f =  22.90711984603289 , pars =  [-1.39073598  4.09219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0898731532568122
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9832974831357602
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5650420965120982
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.013660520806342
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0220400589748604
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0285587067445998
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8577119557481692
f =  783.8341087945812 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  1.08948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08587622644245843
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981540864102974
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6928369230799976
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0122454150408982
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0183893701263909
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0212282618745097
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.9823274124939108
f =  161.7537296033698 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.75727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.1105883191005446
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029743
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6222957207708044
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.017768927864797
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.02658917259002
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0299062606433476
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.832400158844638
f =  121.91773853995113 , pars =  [-1.49073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.10363262817769028
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029743
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5602049168973324
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0157781913512998
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0251339430579445
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.032507561159317
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8345603677915261
f =  154.59023671051716 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.89219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.10999637458465249
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9795994998338007
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6031328390950184
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0146389334204702
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0230251961394938
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.029538280770608
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8327752813259421
f =  1848.0221879552266 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.88948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.1167109878218042
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029745
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5367469628520627
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0164786966888502
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.026423567354258
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0343226083433668
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.7062636258645153
f =  33.527692452756206 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.55727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08535491518457143
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029749
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6323208246009298
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0134866209565
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.022177223007252
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0267082675876102
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8538432212435804
f =  16.65766065644749 , pars =  [-1.39058596  4.07300543  1.01043475  0.59413284]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0828040084906617
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9829738593867621
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6260908228479505
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012783482063201
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0209496519540406
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0252780757665492
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8668086824338185
f =  22.17044173824231 , pars =  [-1.39090661  4.10841142  1.00918277  0.68764619]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09722560528773909
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9835661397326593
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.49151286395367827
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0146678218634522
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0247184463742804
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0348684955781053
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8623359326775142
f =  30.719789673843614 , pars =  [-1.39068175  4.03386555  1.00662233  0.62501206]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09161640975002745
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9822942450470314
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6010297712933965
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0147531000633048
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0241806304292236
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0292902757277382
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8546038625931748
f =  28.782693458536542 , pars =  [-1.39057915  4.08018334  1.0192654   0.58896107]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07849339548001588
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9830956339033436
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6857364073911585
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.011337301529403
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0169621028335099
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0197166640041242
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8785218181897864
f =  17.05106549216863 , pars =  [-1.39062492  4.09756831  1.00580331  0.59459479]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08075377635916288
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833869759217566
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6127517262880553
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0132302173357506
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021851177682336
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0263667603192719
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8746002194028079
f =  17.382345145172543 , pars =  [-1.40042176  4.07298232  1.00939433  0.59265843]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08301052632113144
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9829734658979159
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6185053342717223
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0130330858112357
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0214878526887974
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0260593199343926
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8650566814002267
f =  16.725394248913123 , pars =  [-1.38786386  4.06501634  1.01056454  0.58877114]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08271839735859425
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9828372912508624
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6238980531727372
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0129889493694901
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0214108266251882
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0258296105896307
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8664043289394752
f =  23.58396726531257 , pars =  [-1.39138424  4.06965309  1.01887005  0.59825234]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08067611930250788
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9829166861693505
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6843259915455963
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0117166968636495
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0175172621942636
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0202444457667705
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8770430946535265
f =  16.09794106086006 , pars =  [-1.39061896  4.07310538  1.00946964  0.60408561]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08389700997034855
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9829755609506436
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6255220289504752
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0127014977059825
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0209932834494477
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0253263781884414
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8661091578908559
f =  15.727955355801498 , pars =  [-1.38798119  4.07980534  1.00834799  0.61093357]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08456982939984167
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9830892427680655
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6127157587096039
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0132671822558756
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0219482850481274
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0265786514143789
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8650596636768367
f =  19.2561627622703 , pars =  [-1.39056142  4.08805281  1.00513595  0.61480712]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08272415055960008
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.983228140174414
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6171673566577691
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0128781086326624
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0212810497853662
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0257799115026458
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8813487817379906
f =  13.666005745948437 , pars =  [-1.3855532   4.07415244  1.00562271  0.61833103]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08468092705534547
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9829933773042238
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6166196251857322
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0131894839474804
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0217352678733642
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0262556016712805
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.877359570806462
f =  15.056625634158905 , pars =  [-1.37737101  4.07290766  1.00809686  0.62336898]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09206852105488997
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9829721946251393
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.515042657749336
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0133238921781211
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0227316868133611
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0323791209445496
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8623887561923537
f =  22.378957294161403 , pars =  [-1.38625463  4.06530005  1.00527954  0.62291637]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08493265481231216
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9828421596375363
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6201150704250887
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.01273572244608
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0211057640135746
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0256547471926822
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8852485029603073
f =  11.902679689868837 , pars =  [-1.3796534   4.08061763  1.00286036  0.62230132]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0906860741738996
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9831029736628764
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5144566206154685
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.013152132598259
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0224879968035439
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0321565820653398
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8645030488326007
f =  14.897190920221535 , pars =  [-1.38083084  4.08374849  1.00339508  0.63171011]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09254971350574347
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9831557931234731
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5050318267704497
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0139556990210814
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0236654380227048
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0336460116900321
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8628890006851578
f =  13.469231739360435 , pars =  [-1.38060526  4.08510539  1.01163134  0.6208787 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08499323341106549
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.983178633534681
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6086646783165184
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.01341981568686
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0222087751408682
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.026903443635244
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8672811234959704
f =  11.093751565575058 , pars =  [-1.37310724  4.08797657  1.0043919   0.62149623]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08986637326741256
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9832268614178049
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5159880320455952
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0129719869974154
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0221676726132836
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0317080458524652
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8651700072634346
f =  13.147106554174181 , pars =  [-1.37821815  4.08310861  1.0063311   0.61910047]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08432732305544473
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9831450114288709
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6194491064192393
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012988909123509
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0213181217371772
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.025733568606004
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8747190359961692
f =  7.8386428100548 , pars =  [-1.37120653  4.0968631   1.00549631  0.61747167]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08796723732307524
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833752562227527
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5093871654003024
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0137568240981836
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0232110351332098
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0328794847480964
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8751090517982701
f =  31.052944099782344 , pars =  [-1.36748094  4.1039339   1.00135731  0.62182972]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08432021287783824
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9834923916985373
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6002289318340436
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0134663894289633
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0223598791882291
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0271959275034663
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8553002266531642
f =  15.912653670107087 , pars =  [-1.36258923  4.09383022  1.00940944  0.61636217]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08309534628388168
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833247587016815
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6087656025027415
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0132717532636013
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0220292942714673
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0266769557734436
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8664008558951893
f =  21.219296479618666 , pars =  [-1.37191391  4.09749165  1.00802303  0.60784254]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0808077996504222
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833857023319342
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.611212895692616
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0129571397568093
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0215085526082759
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0261379404643198
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8810402638457606
f =  26.496076635172123 , pars =  [-1.37502316  4.09780443  1.00736971  0.62647376]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08265692030762496
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833908980785521
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6196263326335363
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0125920712721959
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.020763331035929
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0251668106848246
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8861090211150662
f =  13.54425721328421 , pars =  [-1.37680301  4.09072267  1.00586826  0.61723241]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08359962655476597
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9832728589904005
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6179405021792247
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0129889621729133
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0213273563376937
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0257375040514922
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8729630579147136
f =  16.72853412201428 , pars =  [-1.38063008  4.09899058  1.00382332  0.61550398]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08333312122222432
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9834105873230272
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6089062347967336
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0131289117341615
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0217765079431484
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0264105379378328
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8653141036149729
f =  20.83073468181015 , pars =  [-1.36809269  4.10452297  1.00973694  0.61377742]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08112669653028518
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9835021130406745
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6109064385126431
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0130341229514683
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0216041604391486
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0261689996468362
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8810043745116047
f =  25.066649771504224 , pars =  [-1.36836409  4.09585153  1.00178413  0.61601669]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08410923927455596
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833584305885378
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6068396558076812
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.013215719043749
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021809171058618
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0265316647140244
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8585056089971971
f =  18.722052840616012 , pars =  [-1.37128645  4.0967723   1.00582606  0.61653539]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0818872249169454
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833737465618683
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6148346512383193
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0127492801144082
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0210670274754075
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0256101035120762
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8798041345770774
f =  11.553525945656311 , pars =  [-1.37079113  4.09593943  1.00486736  0.6196691 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08702862857109867
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833598932840548
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5219594549133704
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012492885775106
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0214487754608226
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0306291667600158
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8802385618013482
f =  17.753766085009836 , pars =  [-1.37092308  4.09773493  1.00586124  0.61730918]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08220742876974045
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833897437658039
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6187514948617642
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0126572234088553
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0208696714636252
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0252808080755091
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8788144292196701
f =  13.882003141606042 , pars =  [-1.37159656  4.09668646  1.00463363  0.61774087]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08306661700227046
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833723192855331
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6097108151423449
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0130021701117322
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0215464397441436
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0262258929293802
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8707309768362459
f =  15.06699667980771 , pars =  [-1.37203206  4.09711022  1.00597803  0.61763098]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08254646450311388
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833793638903103
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.61361921231509
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0129178832372
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0213844602983002
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0259080670651608
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8755630661134343
f =  19.83637145964099 , pars =  [-1.3705588   4.09625378  1.00582082  0.61779392]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08208710082092724
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833651232095069
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6187643371736252
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0128263607432162
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021100232688196
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0254679413479686
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8809446816047195
f =  7.864623106818058 , pars =  [-1.37178924  4.09605121  1.00552378  0.61744864]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08745604022270716
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833617532435053
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5192138297589146
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012648102696642
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0216875996789503
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031037460069452
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8743545561137546
f =  13.870148219177919 , pars =  [-1.37056288  4.09725408  1.00494649  0.617833  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0828033510873535
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833817548903657
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6054258331812302
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0134255751565262
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0220841153833664
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0268290497552643
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8743674847500155
f =  14.865060507613675 , pars =  [-1.37119806  4.09663696  1.00544128  0.61844417]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08262711880688474
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833714961318273
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6149526993598584
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0128052767895073
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0212068859144778
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0257190615142149
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8749924674438628
f =  14.566036907127124 , pars =  [-1.37134411  4.09659011  1.00508435  0.61718793]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08261178657597527
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833707171531524
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6136491791191023
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012923624991784
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021376368939934
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0259009812603257
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8741289950436884
f =  14.578028981334395 , pars =  [-1.37133762  4.09663634  1.00513807  0.61724133]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08253428541886004
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833714858229148
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6123142424294825
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0130298553482144
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021558621608386
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0261072233517943
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8742142908829416
f =  13.457566418019043 , pars =  [-1.37119313  4.09684797  1.00554202  0.61738506]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08643987553423507
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833750046531473
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5222872045163491
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0124938402178667
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0213730922488755
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0306355835456895
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.881811749447774
f =  7.863441344379076 , pars =  [-1.37131921  4.09693778  1.00539696  0.61765703]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08757253397667426
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833764976968805
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5193765037607568
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0126314338521387
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021666265274528
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0310441758513378
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.874324967664821
f =  19.609937955265142 , pars =  [-1.37128574  4.0968939   1.00554901  0.61747185]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08221658274969362
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833757682033232
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6211771426478613
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0125950516435283
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0206465581462105
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.025010695843544
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8806883448668872
f =  14.434123660235146 , pars =  [-1.37113624  4.09682398  1.00545621  0.6175155 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08280834766631091
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833746057834502
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6138720241730117
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0129768401344716
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0214549651252403
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0259436816951404
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8744658430507863
f =  13.841119415524213 , pars =  [-1.37124939  4.09677422  1.00550631  0.61748445]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08296716025580012
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833737785515066
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.609051874773643
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.013479870932579
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.022127974477478
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0267019699411382
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8741368384935918
f =  14.848492024192408 , pars =  [-1.3712138   4.0969124   1.00541708  0.61743646]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08261315761547537
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833760757129034
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6143376071055818
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0131254086288584
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021569544868832
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0260214096521594
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8751120684748548
f =  19.68504430703314 , pars =  [-1.37117337  4.09694894  1.0055344   0.6174627 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08196795014017864
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833766832347112
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6172481721214829
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012734139194958
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0210524352354038
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0255019694708254
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8807286268052827
f =  21.410530439944086 , pars =  [-1.37123114  4.09688535  1.00546546  0.61756083]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08186869665808104
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833756260198683
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6176384241461557
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0126025596026798
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0209106682840419
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0253656180056325
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8821107512679789
f =  19.678508502903632 , pars =  [-1.37123361  4.09681502  1.00542589  0.61742699]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08208220906081616
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833744567379242
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6199331776842709
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.012691286160528
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0209126782060545
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0252527657623929
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8806899003456062
f =  10.275149061272364 , pars =  [-1.37116571  4.09681176  1.00556973  0.61748918]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08675740822456708
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.983374402570915
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5196810709218405
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0125598412294061
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021540378966395
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0309177785824057
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8787266389253012
estimation did converge, now computing standard errors...
             value   free        se
name                               
sigma     2.096055  False       NaN
beta      0.970000  False       NaN
phi       0.294007  False       NaN
psi       0.142842  False       NaN
delta_h1 -1.371207   True  0.044109
delta_h2  4.096863   True  0.054891
eta       0.000000  False       NaN
tfp       1.005496   True  0.003850
price     0.618472   True  0.054328
risk      0.000000  False       NaN
